How Ukraine-Russia war will affect Africa

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Have we ever thought how the current situation between Russia and Ukraine affects Africa?

Africa may pay attention that both Russia and Ukraine play a major role in the global agricultural market. Even one may be unaware, wheat and other grains do exist at the back of heart of geopolitics following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.  Both the countries involved in the war situation have a significant agricultural.

Africa has spent US$4 billion on purchase of Agricultural products from Russia in 2020. 96% of imports are for wheat and sunflower. Egypt has the highest imports numbers, almost half, followed by Sudan, Nigeria, Tanzania, Algeria, Kenya and South Africa.

Africa has also purchased agricultural goods worth US$2.9 billion from Ukraine 2020, most of it was wheat, followed by maize and few other products like sunflower oil, barley, and soy beans.

European Union produced 14% of global wheat, out of this 10% is produced by Russia and 4% is produced by Ukraine. The wheat produced by these 2 countries is for domestic consumption and exports as well and collectively both countries account for a quarters of worlds wheat exports. In the year 2020, Russia accounted for 18% of exports, whereas Ukraine exported 8% of worlds export.

Both countries product 4% of global maze production, and export 14% of maze demand for exports. Both countries are also notable players in maize, responsible for a combined maize exports of 14%. The same is true for Sunflower, In 2020, Ukraine’s sunflower oil exports accounted for 40% of global exports, with Russia accounting for 18% of global sunflower oil exports.

Due to these factors, war could cause instability in food production and supply chain, causing instability and further increase in prices of food grains and sunflower oil. Already grains and oils are the major products responsible for big rise in prices globally.

Both South America and Indonesia have resulted in poor harvests, due to dry weather conditions, combined with rising demand in China and India.

The outbreak of war would severely affect the rising demand for food products globally and increase the prices further. Africa would be severely affected by this situation as the worry of drought in some regions of the continent.

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